Data tables for the Eliminating cervical cancer in Canada digital report

Access the data tables and footnotes for the following pages:

Cervical cancer rates in Canada

Age-standardized incidence rate (per 100,000) for cervical cancer, Canada, 1994 to 2022

Year Incidence
1994 11.1
1995 10.8
1996 10.8
1997 10
1998 9.6
1999 9.8
2000 9.4
2001 9.4
2002 9.1
2003 8.9
2004 8.7
2005 8.2
2006 8.4
2007 8.7
2008 8.4
2009 8.6
2010 8.8
2011 8.8
2012 8.7
2013 7.9
2014 8.0
2015 7.8
2016 8.3
2017 8.2
2018 8.5
2019 8.9
2020 8.2
2021 7.9
2022 8.7

Based on trends in age-standardized incidence rates per 100,000 for cervical cancer (females only) from 1994 to 2022, Canada. Quebec incidence data was carried forward from 2017 and Nova Scotia incidence data was carried forward from 2019. Rates are age-standardized to the 2021 Canadian standard population. The COVID-19 pandemic impacted routine cervical cancer screening in 2020 and may have affected incidence rates from 2020-21.

Data source: Canadian Cancer Registry, Statistics Canada

Age-standardized incidence rate (per 100,000) for cervical cancer, by jurisdiction, 2020 and 2022

Jurisdiction 2020 incidence rate 2022 incidence rate
Canada 8.2 8.7
British Columbia 8.3 9.2
Alberta 8.5 8.7
Saskatchewan 9.5 11.8
Manitoba 8.9 9.6
Ontario 7.7 8.2
Quebec 8.3 8.2
New Brunswick 9.1 9.5
Nova Scotia 11.1 10.7
Prince Edward Island 10.3 4.4
Newfoundland and Labrador 7.3 8.6

Data for Canada includes all jurisdictions. Quebec incidence data was carried forward from 2017 and Nova Scotia data was carried forward from 2019.
Rates are age-standardized to the 2021 Canadian standard population.
Cervical cancer cases in Northwest Territories, Yukon and Nunavut were suppressed due to small numbers.
The COVID-19 pandemic impacted routine cervical cancer screening in 2020 and may have affected incidence rates for 2020.

Data source: Canadian Cancer Registry, Statistics Canada.

Age-standardized incidence rate (per 100,000) for cervical cancer, by neighbourhood income quintile and geographic location, Canada, 2020 to 2022 combined

Stratification Classification Age-standardized incidence rate
(per 100,000)
Neighbourhood income quintile Q1 – lowest 9.3
Neighbourhood income quintile Q2 8.7
Neighbourhood  income quintile Q3 7.5
Neighbourhood income quintile Q4 8.1
Neighbourhood income quintile Q5 – highest 7.6
Location Rural 9.2
Location Urban 8.1

Data for Canada includes all provinces/territories except Quebec and Nova Scotia. Rates are standardized to the 2021 Canadian standard population.
The COVID-19 pandemic impacted routine cervical cancer screening in 2020 and may have affected incidence rates from 2020-21.

Data source: Canadian Cancer Registry, Statistics Canada.

Modelling projections for eliminating cervical cancer

Projected age-standardized incidence rate (per 100,000 females) for cervical cancer by level of HPV vaccination uptake* and level and type of cervical screening, 2015-2050

Year Status quo vaccination (70%) and screening (70% Pap) Status quo vaccination (70%), switch to HPV screening (70%) ECC Action Plan goal: 90% vaccination, 90% HPV screening
2015 6.87 6.87 6.87
2016 6.92 6.92 6.92
2017 6.74 6.74 6.74
2018 7.06 7.06 7.06
2019 6.91 6.91 6.91
2020 6.66 6.66 6.66
2021 7.17 7.17 7.17
2022 6.70 6.70 6.70
2023 6.36 6.36 6.36
2024 6.58 6.58 6.58
2025 6.34 6.53 6.76
2026 5.98 6.05 6.21
2027 6.31 6.28 6.28
2028 5.92 5.18 4.72
2029 5.74 4.84 4.43
2030 5.83 4.82 4.26
2031 5.43 4.13 3.67
2032 5.37 4.16 3.68
2033 5.35 4.02 3.50
2034 5.13 3.79 3.31
2035 4.97 3.65 3.19
2036 5.05 3.68 3.18
2037 4.75 3.48 3.07
2038 4.75 3.46 3.02
2039 4.77 3.50 3.05
2040 4.59 3.29 2.85
2041 4.44 3.16 2.68
2042 4.34 3.07 2.67
2043 4.30 3.07 2.67
2044 4.11 3.03 2.55
2045 4.15 3.02 2.57
2046 4.03 3.03 2.51
2047 3.95 2.85 2.44
2048 3.91 2.83 2.39
2049 3.71 2.79 2.29
2050 3.68 2.80 2.25
2051 3.64 2.74 2.27

Oncosim modelling projections were run in 2025 using the World Health Organization’s World Standard Population.
* HPV vaccination uptake rates are based on full vaccination against HPV, based on NACI immunization guidelines.

Projected age-standardized incidence rate (per 100,000 females) for cervical cancer by HPV screening implementation year, 2015-2050

Year Status quo vaccination (70%) and screening (70% Pap) Status quo vaccination (70%), switch to HPV screening (70%) ECC Action Plan goal: 90% vaccination, 90% HPV screening Status quo vaccination (70%) and screening (70% Pap) Status quo vaccination (70%), switch to HPV screening (70%) ECC Action Plan goal: 90% vaccination, 90% HPV screening
2015 6.87 6.87 6.87 6.87 6.87 6.87
2016 6.92 6.92 6.92 6.92 6.92 6.92
2017 6.74 6.74 6.74 6.74 6.74 6.74
2018 7.06 7.06 7.06 7.06 7.06 7.06
2019 6.91 6.91 6.91 6.91 6.91 6.91
2020 6.66 6.66 6.66 6.66 6.66 6.66
2021 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17 7.17
2022 6.70 6.70 6.70 6.70 6.70 6.70
2023 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36
2024 6.58 6.58 6.58 6.58 6.58 6.58
2025 6.53 6.34 6.34 6.34 6.34 6.34
2026 6.05 5.98 5.98 5.98 5.98 5.98
2027 6.28 6.52 6.31 6.31 6.31 6.31
2028 5.18 5.93 5.92 5.92 5.92 5.92
2029 4.84 5.69 5.91 5.74 5.74 5.74
2030 4.82 5.69 5.91 5.74 5.74 5.74
2031 4.13 4.50 5.35 5.60 5.43 5.43
2032 4.16 4.41 4.70 5.43 5.37 5.37
2033 4.02 4.15 4.53 5.34 5.51 5.35
2034 3.79 3.93 4.25 4.62 5.22 5.13
2035 3.65 3.79 3.88 4.27 4.98 5.11
2036 3.68 3.73 3.90 4.21 4.48 5.15
2037 3.48 3.58 3.67 3.77 4.11 4.84
2038 3.46 3.48 3.54 3.70 3.96 4.24
2039 3.50 3.52 3.58 3.68 3.80 4.13
2040 3.29 3.32 3.39 3.43 3.59 3.85
2041 3.16 3.21 3.23 3.29 3.40 3.53
2042 3.07 3.09 3.10 3.17 3.20 3.38
2043 3.07 3.10 3.14 3.17 3.24 3.37
2044 3.03 3.07 3.10 3.11 3.14 3.17
2045 3.02 3.01 3.07 3.09 3.12 3.19
2046 3.03 3.03 3.06 3.07 3.07 3.10
2047 2.85 2.90 2.89 2.94 2.97 2.98
2048 2.83 2.84 2.89 2.91 2.92 2.93
2049 2.79 2.79 2.80 2.78 2.84 2.84
2050 2.80 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.80 2.81
2051 2.74 2.75 2.76 2.77 2.76 2.80

Oncosim modelling projections were run in 2025 using the World Health Organization’s World Standard Population. Projections assume an HPV vaccination uptake rate of 70 per cent.
*HPV vaccination uptake rates are based on full vaccination against HPV, based on NACI immunization guidelines.

Progress on HPV vaccination in Canada

HPV vaccination rates (one or more doses) by province/territory (years vary)

Province/Territory* Year Vaccination rate** Category Additional context
British Columbia 2024
Females: 76%
Males: 73%
70-79% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rates refer to the percentages of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 17, by sex.
Alberta 2024
Females: 77.4%
Males: 76.9%
70-79% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rates refer to the percentages of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 17, by sex.
Saskatchewan 2018 Females: 83.8% 80-89% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rate refers to the percentage of females who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 17.
Manitoba 2023
Females: 71.4%
Males: 67.1%
70-79% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rates refer to the percentages of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 17, by sex.
Ontario 2023-24 Overall: 68.0% ≤69% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rate refers to the percentage of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 17.
Quebec 2023-24
Females: 84.5%
Males: 81.7%
Overall: 83%
80-89% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rates refer to the percentages of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 14, by sex and overall.
New Brunswick 2023-24
Females: 70.7%
Males: 65.8%
70-79% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rates refer to the percentages of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 13, by sex.
Nova Scotia 2024 Overall: 83.4% 80-89% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rate refers to the percentage of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 17.
Prince Edward Island 2023-24
Overall: 82.6%
80-89% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rate refers to the percentage of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 12.
Newfoundland and Labrador 2019-20
Females: 93.4%
Males: 91.4%
Overall: 92.4%
≥90% of 17-year-olds received 1+ dose The vaccination rates refer to the percentages of people who received at least one dose of HPV vaccination by age 12, by sex and overall.
Yukon
Insufficient data
Insufficient data Data not currently available. Efforts are underway in the territories to build analytic capacity and measurement and reporting capabilities.
Northwest Territories
Insufficient data
Insufficient data Data not currently available. Efforts are underway in the territories to build analytic capacity and measurement and reporting capabilities.
Nunavut
Insufficient data
Insufficient data Data not currently available. Efforts are underway in the territories to build analytic capacity and measurement and reporting capabilities.
  1. All provinces and territories administer GARDASIL®9 on a one-, two- or three-dose schedule according to the National Advisory Committee on Immunization recommended vaccination schedule for HPV vaccines.
  2. 1-dose HPV vaccination data not available for all jurisdictions. Where not available, 2-dose HPV vaccination rates are reported.
  3. Jurisdictions are categorized based on the overall vaccination rate. When overall rates are not available, jurisdictions are categorized based on female or male vaccination rate, whichever is higher.
  4. Each province and territory measures this indicator differently. Because of these differences, data cannot be compared across provinces/territories. Data was gathered from provincial and territorial websites, with the exception of Newfoundland and Labrador, which provided the data directly.

Change in HPV vaccination rates over time (years vary)

Province/Territory* Change Additional context
British Columbia Increase
Age 12: data from the previous period not available.
Age 17: The HPV vaccination rates in 2024 increased compared to 2023.
Alberta No change
Age 13: There was no change in the HPV vaccination rates between 2023 and 2024.
Age 17: There was no change in the HPV vaccination rates between 2023 and 2024.
Saskatchewan Increase
Age 13: The HPV vaccination rates in 2018 increased compared to 2016.
Age 17 : The HPV vaccination rates in 2018 increased compared to 2016.
Manitoba Increase
Age 13: The HPV vaccination rates in 2023 increased compared to 2022.
Age 17: The HPV vaccination rates in 2023 increased compared to 2022.
Ontario Increase
Age 12: The HPV vaccination rates in the 2023-24 school increased compared to the 2021-22 school year.
Age 17: Data from the previous period not available.
Quebec Decrease
Age 9: There was no change in the HPV vaccination rates between the 2022-23 and 2023-24 school years.
Age 14: The HPV vaccination rates in the 2023-24 school year decreased compared to the 2022-23 school year.
New Brunswick Decrease Age 13: The HPV vaccination rates in the 2023-24 school year decreased compared to the 2022-23 school year.
Nova Scotia N/A
Age 13: The HPV vaccination rates between the 2022-23 and 2023-24 school years cannot be directly compared.
Age 17: The HPV vaccination rates between the 2022-23 and 2023-24 school years cannot be directly compared.
Prince Edward Island N/A Data from the previous period not available.
Newfoundland and Labrador N/A Data from the previous period not available.
Yukon N/A Data from the previous period not available.
Northwest Territories N/A Data from the previous period not available.
Nunavut N/A Data from the previous period not available.

Change based on at least 1 dose at the given age. Where there were discrepancies between 1 dose and 2 doses, the rate for 1 dose was taken.

Percentage of 14-year old children vaccinated for HPV, by neighbourhood income quintile (before tax), Canada, 2021

Neighbourhood income quintile Percent (%)
Q1 – lowest 85.0
Q2 80.2
Q3 82.3
Q4 81.0
Q5 – highest 89.3

Data source: Childhood National Immunization Coverage Survey, Statistics Canada

Percentage of 14-year old children vaccinated for HPV, by location, Canada, 2021

Location Percent (%)
Rural – very remote 91.7
Rural – remote 83.7
Rural 75.0
Urban 84.3

Data source: Childhood National Immunization Coverage Survey, Statistics Canada

HPV vaccination guidance by province/territory, by dose (2025)

Province/Territory Doses
British Columbia 1
Alberta 2
Saskatchewan 2
Manitoba 2
Ontario 2
Quebec 1
New Brunswick 2
Nova Scotia 1
Prince Edward Island 2
Newfoundland and Labrador 2
Yukon 1
Northwest Territories 2
Nunavut 1

All provinces and territories administer GARDASIL®9 on a one-, two- or three-dose schedule according to the National Advisory Committee on Immunization recommended vaccination schedule for HPV vaccines.

Immunization coverage for human papillomavirus (HPV) among 12-year olds by number of doses: Ontario 2019-20 to 2023-24 school years

School year Doses Proportion of students (%)
2019-2020 0 19.9
2020-2021 0 33
2021-2022 0 27.9
2022-2023 0 26.5
2023-2024 0 32.2
2019-2020 1 26.9
2020-2021 1 20
2021-2022 1 15.4
2022-2023 1 9.8
2023-2024 1 15.4
2019-2020 2 51.5
2020-2021 2 46
2021-2022 2 56.3
2022-2023 2 63.4
2023-2024 2 52.3
2019-2020 3 or more 1.7
2020-2021 3 or more 1
2021-2022 3 or more 0.4
2022-2023 3 or more 0.2
2023-2024 3 or more 0.1

Data source: Public Health Ontario

Current state of cervical screening

Cervical screening coverage and program status

Jurisdiction Program status* Screening coverage (%)**
British Columbia Organized population based screening 65.5
Alberta Organized population based screening 74.9
Saskatchewan Organized population based screening 74.5
Manitoba Organized population based screening 72.6
Ontario Organized population based screening 71.0
Quebec Program announced or planned 63.4
New Brunswick Organized population based screening 64.5
Nova Scotia Organized population based screening 61.8
Prince Edward Island Organized population based screening 60.4
Newfoundland and Labrador Organized population based screening 67.7
Yukon Opportunistic screening N/A
Northwest Territories Program announced or planned N/A
Nunavut Opportunistic screening N/A

*Each province and territory provided its program status as of January 2026.

**Age standardized to 2011 Canadian population. Denominator excludes women who have had a hysterectomy. Data source: Statistics Canada. Canadian Community Health Survey

Data source: Statistics Canada. Canadian Community Health Survey

Percentages of women (aged 21-69) reporting at least one Pap test in the past three years, 2017

Stratification Classification Coverage rate (%)
Immigration status <10 years 66.7
Immigration status  ≥10 years 64.8
Immigration status Canadian born 71.1
Location Urban 69.0
Location Rural 67.6
Age group 25 to 34 years 69.6
Age group 35 to 49 years 74.7
Age group 50 to 69 years 63.4
Indigenous identity* Indigenous people [2] 70.5
Indigenous identity* First Nations people living off reserve 69.7
Indigenous identity* Métis 70.6
Indigenous identity* Inuit NA [3]
Indigenous identity* Non-Indigenous (Reference category) 68.7

Age standardized to 2011 Canadian population. Denominator excludes women who have had a hysterectomy.
*New category for 2024
[2] From data notes: “The Indigenous population includes First Nations people living off reserve, Métis and Inuit outside of Inuit Nunangat. Indigenous status is based on the self-reported answer to “Are you First Nations, Métis or Inuk (Inuit)? First Nations (North American Indian) includes Status and Non-Status Indians.””
[3] Suppressed; “too unreliable to be published”

Data source: Statistics Canada. Canadian Community Health Survey

HPV primary screening progress

HPV screening in Canada, 2025

Jurisdiction Level of implementation HPV self-screening level of implementation
British Columbia Jurisdiction-wide implementation Jurisdiction-wide implementation
Alberta Planning for implementation Pilot
Saskatchewan Planning for implementation Planning for implementation
Manitoba Planning for implementation Pilot
Ontario Jurisdiction-wide implementation Partial implementation
Quebec Partial implementation Planning for implementation
New Brunswick Planning for implementation Planning for implementation
Nova Scotia Planning for implementation Planning for implementation
Prince Edward Island Jurisdiction-wide implementation Partial implementation
Newfoundland and Labrador Planning for implementation Planning for implementation
Yukon Planning for implementation Planning for implementation
Northwest Territories* Partial implementation Partial implementation
Nunavut Planning for implementation Planning for implementation

Each province and territory provided its implementation status as of January 2026.
*HPV primary screening, including HPV self-screening, is offered opportunistically in the Northwest Territories

HPV Positive Screen Follow-Up

Projected colposcopy demand, 2023 to 2053

Description: Colposcopy demand modelling projections using the OncoSim-Cervix tool. Implementation follows an age-based approach (aged >50 first, followed by aged >40, and lastly aged >= 25).

Year Age-based transition over 7y to HPV testing every 5y Age-based transition over 3y to HPV testing every 5y Immediate transition to HPV testing every 5y Pap testing every 3y
2023 228,413 228,413 228,413 228,413
2024 228,082 228,082 283,970 218,505
2025 214,871 226,910 294,098 205,529
2026 212,674 256,232 287,664 202,594
2027 204,726 248,502 185,089 201,765
2028 184,421 202,890 84,475 198,033
2029 204,409 148,703 145,072 199,433
2030 205,588 127,720 207,359 198,680
2031 173,033 162,935 213,191 194,865
2032 170,163 180,014 146,367 193,906
2033 140,032 150,163 78,961 193,379
2034 120,478 115,400 119,929 188,920
2035 123,717 106,276 156,689 187,671
2036 121,582 129,411 158,331 187,240
2037 128,180 138,155 112,622 186,074
2038 113,155 117,417 67,987 186,126
2039 102,986 93,391 100,270 184,868
2040 104,833 92,091 129,306 182,941
2041 100,173 109,994 129,669 183,686
2042 107,571 117,845 95,914 183,447
2043 98,089 100,580 62,500 182,986
2044 90,279 81,050 89,881 183,557
2045 89,967 80,051 110,600 184,639
2046 85,064 94,490 109,970 184,569
2047 92,247 101,875 83,839 184,093
2048 88,254 91,485 59,986 185,243
2049 82,916 75,103 82,579 185,121
2050 82,515 72,400 98,628 187,127
2051 78,350 84,321 96,972 186,651
2052 83,185 90,874 76,783 185,046
2053 78,185 82,189 57,428 184,944